NTSB to finally rule on the cause of Kobe Bryant helicopter crash

US safety investigators said Tuesday that the pilot of Kobe Bryant’s helicopter flew through clouds last year in an apparent violation of federal standards and became disoriented, not knowing ‘which way was up’, before he flew directly into a hillside, killing Bryant, his daughter Gianna and the six other passengers on board. 

On January 26, 2020, pilot Ara Zobayan was only legally allowed to fly under Visual Flight Rules, which meant that he needed to be able to see where he was going. 

He couldn’t that day because of the heavy fog that had landed over L.A., grounding most air traffic including LAPD choppers.  

Once he was in the air in the Sikorsky S-76 helicopter, he should have fallen back on his training to get the aircraft to safety but he didn’t, officials from the National Transportation Safety Board said at a virtual meeting on Tuesday as they deliberated the official cause of the crash. They have not yet ruled but are expected to this afternoon. 

Zobayan thought he was flying out of the clouds and told air traffic control he was ascending shortly before 10am on January 26. 

Instead, he was descending quickly. He then flew directly into the hillside, killing everyone instantly including himself. 

Bryant, his 13-year-old daughter, Gianna, and six other passengers were flying from Orange County to a youth basketball tournament at his Mamba Sports Academy in Ventura County.  

Until now, the only possible explanation has been that the pilot, Ara Zobayan, was disoriented as a result of poor visibility caused by thick fog which had grounded almost all other air traffic that morning. 

There has never been any evidence of mechanical failure, suggesting pilot error was the likely cause of the crash. 

Pilot Ara Zobayan

Kobe Bryant and his daughter Gianna, 13, were killed along with seven others in a helicopter crash last January. On Tuesday, NTSB officials will discuss whether pilot Ara Zobayan was under pressure from his bosses at Island Express to complete the flight in spite of poor visibility 

This is the flight path that the helicopter took on the day of the crash before plowing into the hillside

This is the flight path that the helicopter took on the day of the crash before plowing into the hillside 

The NTSB is holding a virtual meeting to officially rule on the crash, which began at 9.30am EST. The meeting is expected to last throughout the morning, with members making presentations before a decision is reached. 

At the start of the meeting, officials said they will discuss whether Zobayan was under pressure from Island Express, the company that owned the helicopter and who he worked for, to complete the flight, or if he put pressure on himself not to let Bryant down.  

They also discussed the fact that Island Express was only legally allowed to operate charter flight under VFR – Visual Flight Rules – which are an industry standard set of conditions which essentially means a pilot can only in good or clear weather. On January 26, VFR did not apply because of the fog.   

Some called the accident preventable. Others said Zobayan abandoning his training when he got into trouble and should have tried to make a safe landing at an airport rather than fly the group out of clouds when he couldn’t make sense of where he was going. 

‘I’m really saddened by this crash and we use the term crash rather than accident and I think it’s important to understand the distinction. An accident is just something that’s unforeseen, unpredictable, if you will. 

‘Unfortunately this wasn’t. We pretty well know what happened. We have a very good idea of why it happened and we absolutely know how to prevent it,’ NTSB Vice Chairman Bruce Landsberg said. 

IGNORED WEATHER WARNINGS AND FEDERAL SAFETY STANDARDS

The first problem, the officials ruled, was that the pilot should never have taken the aircraft off the ground under the conditions that were present on January 26.

The thick fog meant that most air traffic across the city had been grounded, even LAPD helicopters.

The pilot was not qualified to fly in poor conditions – few are – but chose to anyway, abandoning VFR, which is the federal standard set of guidelines.

Slides from the NTSB meeting on Tuesday morning included images of the helicopter on the day of the crash which show it flying through fog

Slides from the NTSB meeting on Tuesday morning included images of the helicopter on the day of the crash which show it flying through fog

Another slide from the meeting shows how the hillside that the pilot flew into (bottom left) are normally visible. Right, the fog on the day of the crash

Another slide from the meeting shows how the hillside that the pilot flew into (bottom left) are normally visible. Right, the fog on the day of the crash

The helicopter was in a tightening left turn and descending rapidly. This maneuver is consistent with the pilot experiencing spatial disorientation and limited visibility conditions

The helicopter was in a tightening left turn and descending rapidly. This maneuver is consistent with the pilot experiencing spatial disorientation and limited visibility conditions

THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN IFR AND VFR FLYING

Under Visual Flight Rules (VFR) pilots must always be able to see things out of their windows, which includes the ground, other aircraft and obstacles. 

Pilots flying under VFR must fly on the outside of clouds and are prohibited from flying into clouds.

Flying under Instrument Flight Rules (IFR) is extremely more challenging than VFR flying. Unlike VFR, pilots are allowed to fly into clouds where there is zero visibility. 

One of the most illustrative differences between the two set of flight rules is the landing procedures.

Under VFR, pilots will fly toward the runway at an angle before executing a rectangular pattern near the runway and heading down for the landing. 

Under IFR, pilots will have to begin 20 miles or more away from the runway and are required to use special instructions in the form of diagrams called approach plates. 

The approach plates tell pilots where an aircraft will need to change its direction, what altitude it should be flying at, all while having zero visibility.  

IFR pilots will usually only be able to see out of their windows toward the end of the instrument approach, which is when they will be able to see the runway.  

‘This weather didn’t sneak up on the pilot quickly. They had a very easy alternative of landing at Van Nuys airport It was 10 to 12 miles behind them, just a few minutes of flying time,’ one of the NTSB board members said. 

‘As long as we have VFR helicopters continuing to flirt with marginal weather, limited visibility…a certain percentage of them will not come out alive,’ one said. 

‘The lesson to be learned is for pilots to take this risk seriously and adhere to their training.’  

During questioning, NTSB member Michael Graham asked lead investigator, Bill English, if the pilot climbed straight ahead when he penetrated the weather? 

English responded: ‘No, sir. The climb was a subtle left turn.’

Graham: ‘He didn’t follow his training. Do you feel he committed to the instruments in this case?’

English said: ‘The passive behavior of the helicopter is not consistent with committing to the instruments.’ 

In essence, English ruled that Zobayan had abandoned his training. 

ABANDONED HIS TRAINING TO KEEP FLYING ONCE HE GOT INTO TROUBLE

Once in the air, despite the fact he shouldn’t have been, the officials said the pilot should have done a number of things that he didn’t.

‘If a pilot cannot see outside visual references he must rely on flight instruments. When there are no outside visual references the pilot is more susceptible to ear illusions.

‘Such illusions can trigger a pilot’s perception to believe he is flying straight and level, but in this case the pilot was on a steady left turn conducive for the pilot to experience “the leans”,’ Dr. Sullivan said.

They also said he could have declared an emergency or turned back to Van Nuys airport but didn’t. 

‘PUT HIMSELF UNDER PRESSURE BECAUSE HE WAS KOBE’S FAVORITE’

Other members argued that ‘self-induced’ pressure may have contributed to Zobayan going ahead with the flight. 

He was Bryant’s favorite pilot and was so trusted by the NBA legend that he’d flown his kids without him on board. 

Dr Dujuan B. Sevillian, one of the NTSB members, said: ‘The objective evidence that we collected with Island Express was through interviews and with those interviews let us know that the relationships between the pilot and the client had turned into a friendship over the years.’

Sevillian said that the ‘client allowed the pilot to fly his children without him being present and that type of relationship that they had was very close’. 

Sevillian continued: ‘When we look at human factors psychology we look at the decisions people make based off the perception of the situation. 

This was the scene on the hillside in Calabasas after the crash at 9.45am on January 26, 2020. There were no survivors

This was the scene on the hillside in Calabasas after the crash at 9.45am on January 26, 2020. There were no survivors

Investigators spent days working through the wreckage. Bryant was identified by his finger prints on January 28

Investigators spent days working through the wreckage. Bryant was identified by his finger prints on January 28

Vanessa Bryant speaks during The Celebration of Life for Kobe & Gianna Bryant at Staples Center on February 24, 2020.  She has already filed a wrongful death lawsuit against Island Express, the company that operated the flight

Vanessa Bryant speaks during The Celebration of Life for Kobe & Gianna Bryant at Staples Center on February 24, 2020.  She has already filed a wrongful death lawsuit against Island Express, the company that operated the flight 

‘In this case the pilot as he was flying in route, this type of relationship that he had with the client can lead to self-induced pressure during the en route portion of the flight so that is why the objective evidence from the interviews helped us understand that relationship and the effect it can have on pilot decision-making.’

NTSB member Thomas Chapman asked Sevillian: ‘The investigation also indicates that the phenomenon of continuation bias was a factor contributing to the decision to continue the flight plan continuation dependent on an element of self-induced pressure so in other words, is it possible there could be bias without any self-induced pressure of the type you described?’

Sevillian responded: ‘In this case it was self-induced pressure and plan continuation bias and the plan continuation bias portion of it was the pilot continuing the flight despite changing conditions.’ 

‘This self-induced pressure can adversely affect pilot decision-making and judgment,’ one said.  

The full crash report has not yet been released and won’t be until the end of the meeting. Then, officials are expected to take questions about it. 

Previous reports and audio from air traffic control reveal that Zobayan told air traffic controllers that he was climbing out of the clouds when in fact he was descending into the hillside shortly before the crash. 

The night before the crash, Bryant’s assistant moved the flight – at his request – to 45 minutes earlier than it had been scheduled. 

Originally, the group was due to depart from Orange County at 9.45am but he changed it to to 9am because he wanted to watch the other basketball game. 

They’d been in the air for 39 minutes when the pilot crashed at 9.45am. 

In the days that followed, an NTSB board member told reporters that clouds and fog causing limited visibility in the foothills north of Los Angeles would likely be a key focus of the investigation.  

The board said previously an examination of the helicopter’s engines and rotors found no evidence of ‘catastrophic mechanical failure’ that could explain why the airship would have plunged into the terrain. 

Bryant was not formally identified until two days after the crash and officials had to use his fingerprints to do it. His wife Vanessa and three other daughters – Natalia, 18, Bianka, four, and Capri, one – were at home. 

The others on board were Gianna’s teammates Alyssa Altobelli and Payton Chester, Alyssa’s parents, John and Keri Altobelli, Payton’s mother Sarah Chester and their coach Christina Mauser.